In less turbulent times, returning a Conservative MP at a by-election in a rural English constituency that has never voted for any other party would be straightforward.

North Shropshire, with slightly more than 80,000 voters, returned its last lawmaker from prime minister Boris Johnson’s party with a whopping 23,000 majority.

But ahead of polls opening on Thursday (16), Johnson is struggling to convince many to stick with him after weeks of political scandal, prompting predictions of a historic defeat.

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